My outsider-looking-in conclusions:
1. Sage UK realized ~18 months ago that it wasn't going to hit its strategic targets. In particular that Sage One was lagging technically and functionally. Also, that X3 was harder than expected.
2. Sage has nearly all legacy products WW. (1) raised the flag that its current path is not the one out of the maze. To its credit, the board then dumped the Frenchies and Finance guys and found somebody who understood sales and significant change management. To me, the single biggest wildcard in all this is Kelly; his presence means all the Bayesian priors are likely wrong to some degree.
3. The SF strategy is, I think, a brilliant way to make the most of a bad hand. Making Sage Life succeed is essentially a marketing effort, not an engineering one. The level of complex programming necessary to make a SF app work is not nearly the same as X3 or Sage 100. And such development is pretty attractive to both the development and marketing community. So Sage can use that to have a shot at hiring new blood who might have some chops.
4. That said, Sage has a very weak track record at being able to spec out and execute on new products with features complete enough to move the dial. That is a marketing (prod mgt) problem. Given Wayne's observation about the CTO's reaction, I don't think UK has sufficiently dealt with this.
5. Peter's conclusion that Spring is for real is a big deal. He was likely hired knowing full well that he must revitalize a skeptical channel to both hold onto legacy customers as long as possible AND generate enough support to make Sage Life succeed. (I think Spring's long experience with Symantec's channel will be a good indicator of the sort of channel Sage expects to have in 5 years.)
6. ""Revitalize the channel"" doesn't mean a return to 2005. SF has a very active and effective consulting channel, and SF couldn't exist without. Yet SF pays their channel nothing. I see no contradiction between ""revitalization"" and ""continued margin declines."" MS CRM OnLine recruits new partners essentially saying that they aren't paying much in margin, but a partner has significant consulting opportunities; Sage will keep moving closer to that.
7. I think more heads must roll for Sage to have any hope of pulling this off. Development, both tech and marketing, in the sf world is very different than the one Sage inhabits now. Kelly seems perfectly willing to churn in order to get people on that program. But I think it's the only way they can produce a product; this is my ""wait and see.""
I agree with Peter. And I think he is saying, ""Let's watch this closely because it is different."" I will. But even if Sage Life turns into the greatest thing since sliced bread, it will still be only one option in our consultants toolbox.